Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 8.00am
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo Osaka vs Tochigi City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Tochigi City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Tochigi City has a probability of 27.04% and a draw has a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Tochigi City win is 1-2 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).

Result

Cerezo Osaka 49.03% (-0.09)
Draw 23.93% (+0.06)
Tochigi City 27.04% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.12% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 57.99%
Under 2.5 42.01%
Over 3.5 34.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.23% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.55% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cerezo Osaka 34.59% (+0.06)
Draw 42.05% (-0.16)
Tochigi City 23.36% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Cerezo Osaka 55.83% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.29% (+0.01)
Tochigi City 38.88% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 70.81% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.93%
Under 8 19.26% (-0.01)
Over 9 59.5% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 29.19% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 47.8% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 52.2% (-0.01)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 1.5 50.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.21% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.79% (-0.01)

Tochigi City Goals

Over 0.5 65.29% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.71% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.3% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 67.7% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.73% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 88.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.42% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 49.03%
Draw 23.93%
Tochigi City 27.03%
Cerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 10.18% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.11%
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 23.93%
Tochigi City
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 27.03%