J1 League Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2026 11.00am
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 11.00am
Tokyo Verdy 1 - 3 Reysol

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.55am
Okayama 1 - 0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.63% and a win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a V-Varen Nagasaki win it is 0-1 (6.1%).

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 57.66%
Draw 23.63%
V-Varen Nagasaki 18.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.66%
Under 2.5 50.34%
Over 3.5 27.21%
Under 3.5 72.79%
Over 4.5 16.08% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.92% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kashiwa Reysol 41.48%
Draw 41.73%
V-Varen Nagasaki 16.79%

Team To Score First

Kashiwa Reysol 60.53%
No Goal 7.37%
V-Varen Nagasaki 32.1%

Corners

Over 8 61.83%
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 26.58%
Over 9 49.59%
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 38.17%
Over 10.5 37.84%
Under 10.5 62.16%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 1.5 51.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.52% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.02% (+0.01)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 53.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 46.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.95%
Under 2.5 94.05%
Over 3.5 1.43%
Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 57.67%
Draw 23.62%
V-Varen Nagasaki 18.7%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 12.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 9.87% (-0.02)
Total : 57.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.62%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 6.1%
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 18.7%