J1 League
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Yuki Kakita 5' goal
  • Yoshio Koizumi 36' goal
  • goal Kotaro Uchino 68'
  • yellowcard Taishi Semba 90'+2'

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Machida Zelvia

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.11% and a win for Mito Hollyhock had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Mito Hollyhock win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 52.28%
Draw 26.11% (-0.04)
Mito Hollyhock 21.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.91% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.1% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.31% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.69% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kashiwa Reysol 35.72% (+0.08)
Draw 44.79% (-0.08)
Mito Hollyhock 19.48%

Team To Score First

Kashiwa Reysol 57.22% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.99%
Mito Hollyhock 33.79% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.5% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 27.78% (-0.06)
Over 9 48.26% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 39.5% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.62% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 63.38% (-0.05)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 1.5 45.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.59% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.44%
Under 2.5 79.56%
Over 3.5 7.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.45% (+0.02)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 0.5 54.73% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.53% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.47% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.74% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 52.27%
Draw 26.11%
Mito Hollyhock 21.61%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 13.53% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.01)
Total : 52.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.11%
Mito Hollyhock
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Total : 21.61%