J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Machida Zelvia

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw has a probability of 26.11% and a win for Mito Hollyhock has a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Mito Hollyhock win it is 0-1 (7.38%).

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 52.28%
Draw 26.11% (-0.04)
Mito Hollyhock 21.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.91% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.1% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.05% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.31% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.69% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kashiwa Reysol 35.72% (+0.08)
Draw 44.79% (-0.08)
Mito Hollyhock 19.48%

Team To Score First

Kashiwa Reysol 57.22% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.99%
Mito Hollyhock 33.79% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.5% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 27.78% (-0.06)
Over 9 48.26% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 39.5% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.62% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 63.38% (-0.05)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 1.5 45.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.59% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.44%
Under 2.5 79.56%
Over 3.5 7.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.45% (+0.02)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 0.5 54.73% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.53% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.47% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.74% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 52.27%
Draw 26.11%
Mito Hollyhock 21.61%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 13.53% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.01)
Total : 52.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 26.11%
Mito Hollyhock
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Total : 21.61%