Club Friendlies 3
Feb 23, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT K's denki Stadium Mito

Mito Hollyhock vs Tochigi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 1.30am
Sagan Tosu 4 - 2 Mito Hollyhock

Tochigi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 4.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 0 Tochigi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mito Hollyhock win with a probability of 41.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.56% and a win for Tochigi had a probability of 28.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mito Hollyhock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.08%) , while for a Tochigi win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.

Result

Mito Hollyhock 41.76% (+4.24)
Draw 29.56% (+0.21)
Tochigi 28.68% (-4.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.53% (-0.95)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.8% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 34.2% (+1.38)
Over 2.5 39.14% (-1.97)
Under 2.5 60.86% (+1.97)
Over 3.5 19% (-1.49)
Under 3.5 81% (+1.49)
Over 4.5 9.93% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 90.07% (+0.77)

First Half Winner

Mito Hollyhock 28.98% (+1.68)
Draw 48.2% (-0.17)
Tochigi 22.81% (-1.52)

Team To Score First

Mito Hollyhock 48.92% (+3.53)
No Goal 11.05% (+0.77)
Tochigi 40.03% (-4.29)

Corners

Over 8 48.83% (+1.95)
Equal 8 12.34% (+0.62)
Under 8 38.83% (-2.58)
Over 9 37.1% (+1.20)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.76)
Under 9 51.17% (-1.95)
Over 10.5 26.88% (+0.45)
Under 10.5 73.12% (-0.45)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 1.5 34.74% (+1.89)
Under 1.5 65.26% (-1.88)
Over 2.5 13.05% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 86.95% (-1.22)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.41)

Tochigi Goals

Over 0.5 61.38% (-4.17)
Under 0.5 38.62% (+4.16)
Over 1.5 24.96% (-4.45)
Under 1.5 75.04% (+4.46)
Over 2.5 7.59% (-2.36)
Under 2.5 92.41% (+2.36)
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.74)

Score analysis

Mito Hollyhock 41.76%
Draw 29.58%
Tochigi 28.67%
Mito Hollyhock
1-0 @ 12.92% (+1.33)
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+1.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (+0.40)
3-0 @ 3.22% (+0.63)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.87% (+0.48)
Total : 41.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.08% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 11.05% (+0.77)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.43)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 29.58%
Tochigi
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.66)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-1.04)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.66)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.70)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.41)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.32)
Other @ 1.94% (-0.67)
Total : 28.67%