J1 League
Aug 22, 2026 11.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Yudai Kimura 7' goal
  • Yuya Asano 83' goal
  • Masahito Ono 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ryotaro Meshino 11'
  • yellowcard Takeru Kishimoto 40'
  • yellowcard Deniz Hümmet 43'
  • redcard Shuto Abe 86'

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.00am
Kashima Antlers 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 10.00am
Mito Hollyhock 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 32.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.69% ▲ (+0.06)
Gamba Osaka 42.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.49% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 25.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 50.94% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 49.06% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 28.64% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 71.36% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 16.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 83.81% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 27.79% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 40.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Gamba Osaka 31.38% ▼ (-0.16)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 45.8% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 7.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Gamba Osaka 46.74% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 62.31% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 26.6% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 50.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 37.69% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 10.5 39.25% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 10.5 60.75% ▲ (+0.30)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 32.98% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 67.02% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 87.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.45% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 32.27%
Draw 25.69%
Gamba Osaka 42.05%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 32.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.69%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.05%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 25, 2025 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 12, 2025 6.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suita City Football Stadium
  • Issam Jebali 63' goal
  • Issam Jebali 63' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 76' goal
  • Ryoya Yamashita 76' goal
  • yellowcard Yuki Nogami 33'
  • yellowcard Yuki Nogami 33'
  • yellowcard Masahito Ono 36'
  • yellowcard Masahito Ono 36'
J1 League Gameweek 35
Oct 23, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Isa Sakamoto 21' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 28' goal
  • Yuya Fukuda 78' goal
  • goal Ha Chang-Rae 5'
  • goal Haruki Yoshida 56'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Ha Chang-Rae 51' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 52' yellowcard
  • goal Takeru Kishimoto 67'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Kwon Kyung-won 52' yellowcard
  • Yuki Yamamoto 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuji Yonemoto 23'
  • goal Haruya Fujii 26'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 67' goal