J1 League
Aug 15, 2026 10.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT K's denki Stadium Mito
  • Yoshiki Torikai 18' goal
  • Hayata Yamamoto 82' yellowcard
  • goal Shinnosuke Nakatani  74'

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 2 - 1 Mito Hollyhock

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 11.30am
Gamba Osaka 4 - 3 Urawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Mito Hollyhock had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest Mito Hollyhock win was 1-0 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Mito Hollyhock 23.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 23.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Gamba Osaka 52.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.14% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Mito Hollyhock 18.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Gamba Osaka 37.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Mito Hollyhock 31.31% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 6.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Gamba Osaka 62.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 24.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 51.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 39.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 60.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 1.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 79.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.23% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mito Hollyhock 23.88%
Draw 23.86%
Gamba Osaka 52.28%
Mito Hollyhock
1-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.86%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.26%
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 52.28%