Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • goal Issam Jebali 26'
  • goal Issam Jebali 29'
  • goal Deniz Hümmet 54'

Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 4.30pm
Salzburg 4 - 0 Metalist Kharkiv

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 2.00pm
Sparta Prague 3 - 0 Gamba Osaka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (6.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 54.83% (+0.01)
Draw 22.31% (+0.02)
Gamba Osaka 22.81% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.29% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 18.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 61.12% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 38.88% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 37.79% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 62.21% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 23.42% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 76.58% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 40.51% (+0.12)
Draw 36.67% (-0.13)
Gamba Osaka 22.82% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 58.61% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.57% (-0.03)
Gamba Osaka 36.82% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.09% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 23.92% (+0.04)
Over 9 53.17% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 34.91% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.4% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.6% (+0.04)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 55.79% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 44.21% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 29.45% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 70.55% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 12.13% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 87.87% (-0.12)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 61.42% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 38.58% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 29.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.79% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.21% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.37% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.63% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 54.84%
Draw 22.31%
Gamba Osaka 22.81%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 10.42% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.38% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.94% (+0.11)
Total : 54.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 22.31%
Gamba Osaka
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.18% (+0.02)
Total : 22.81%