Club Friendlies 3
Jul 9, 2026 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 10.00am
Salzburg 2 - 1 Gornik

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 3.00pm
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 2 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-2 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 45.23% (-1.07)
Draw 23.99% (+0.20)
Metalist Kharkiv 30.78% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.09% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.92% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.11% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.89% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.62% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 81.38% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 35.35% (-1.58)
Draw 37.56% (+0.63)
Metalist Kharkiv 27.09% (+0.95)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 56.32% (+1.14)
No Goal 6.24% (+0.03)
Metalist Kharkiv 37.44% (-1.16)

Corners

Over 8 59.07% (+2.35)
Equal 8 11.02% (-0.13)
Under 8 29.92% (-2.22)
Over 9 47.74% (+2.27)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.09)
Under 9 40.93% (-2.35)
Over 10.5 37.02% (+2.03)
Under 10.5 62.98% (-2.03)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 44.44% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 55.56% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 20.01% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 79.99% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 6.96% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 93.04% (+0.19)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 33.47% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 33.69% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 66.31% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 12.9% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 87.1% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 4.38% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.62% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 45.25%
Draw 24%
Metalist Kharkiv 30.78%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.26)
Other @ 6.95% (-0.18)
Total : 45.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-2 @ 7.35% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.20)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.25)
Total : 30.78%