Club Friendlies 3
Jul 9, 2026 4.30pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 10.00am
Salzburg 2 - 1 Gornik

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 3.00pm
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 2 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv has a probability of 30.78% and a draw has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win is 1-2 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 45.23% (-1.07)
Draw 23.99% (+0.20)
Metalist Kharkiv 30.78% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.09% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.92% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.11% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.89% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.62% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 81.38% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 35.35% (-1.58)
Draw 37.56% (+0.63)
Metalist Kharkiv 27.09% (+0.95)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 56.32% (+1.14)
No Goal 6.24% (+0.03)
Metalist Kharkiv 37.44% (-1.16)

Corners

Over 8 59.07% (+2.35)
Equal 8 11.02% (-0.13)
Under 8 29.92% (-2.22)
Over 9 47.74% (+2.27)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.09)
Under 9 40.93% (-2.35)
Over 10.5 37.02% (+2.03)
Under 10.5 62.98% (-2.03)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 44.44% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 55.56% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 20.01% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 79.99% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 6.96% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 93.04% (+0.19)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 33.47% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 33.69% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 66.31% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 12.9% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 87.1% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 4.38% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.62% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 45.25%
Draw 24%
Metalist Kharkiv 30.78%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.26)
Other @ 6.95% (-0.18)
Total : 45.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-2 @ 7.35% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.20)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.25)
Total : 30.78%