J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 2 Okayama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse has a probability of 35.34% and a draw has a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win is 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Nagoya Grampus 38.23% (+0.31)
Draw 26.43% (+0.13)
Shimizu S-Pulse 35.34% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.14% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 25.86% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 49.75% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 50.25% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 27.81% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 72.19% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.04% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 84.96% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 30.15% (+0.03)
Draw 44.06% (-0.12)
Shimizu S-Pulse 25.79% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 49.21% (+0.15)
No Goal 7.15% (+0.10)
Shimizu S-Pulse 43.64% (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 62.67% (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.71% (-0.04)
Under 8 25.61% (-0.32)
Over 9 50.17% (+0.36)
Equal 9 12.5%
Under 9 37.33% (-0.36)
Over 10.5 38.09% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 61.91% (-0.33)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 37.71% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.29% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 14.87% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.13% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.26% (-0.02)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5 69.6% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 30.4% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 35.73% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 64.27% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 13.66% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 86.34% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 4.25% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.75% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 38.23%
Draw 26.43%
Shimizu S-Pulse 35.35%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.73% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 4.65% (+0.03)
Total : 38.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.15% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.43%
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-1 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.16% (-0.10)
Total : 35.35%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 21
Jun 21, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tsukasa Morishima 17' yellowcard
  • Yota Sato 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ryuji Izumi 47' yellowcard
  • Yuya Yamagishi 64' goal
  • Yuya Yamagishi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroshi Chiba 88'
  • yellowcard Mateus Brunetti 90'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Koya Kitagawa 62' yellowcard
  • Koya Kitagawa 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yota Sato 33'
  • yellowcard Yota Sato 33'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 36'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 36'
  • goal Ryuji Izumi 48'
  • goal Ryuji Izumi 48'
  • goal Keiya Shiihashi 50'
  • goal Keiya Shiihashi 50'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 10, 2022 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Yutaka Yoshida 88' redcard
  • goal Kenta Nishizawa 38'
  • goal Thiago 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Eiichi Katayama 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 21, 2022 6.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carlinhos 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago 72' goal
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 22'
  • goal Yuki Soma 90'+4'
J1 League Gameweek 27
Aug 29, 2021 10.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Naoki Maeda 57' goal
  • goal Thiago 74'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 15, 2021 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elsinho 30' yellowcard
  • Valdo 40' yellowcard
  • Ryo Okui 60' yellowcard
  • goal Yoichiro Kakitani 24'
  • goal Mateus 50'
  • goal Mateus 89'