Club Friendlies 3
Feb 22, 2026 2.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.30am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 2 Shimizu S-Pulse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 41.78% (-2.94)
Draw 27.73% (+0.34)
Jubilo Iwata 30.44% (+2.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.49% (+1.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.19% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 26.81% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 48.77% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 51.23% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 26.92% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 73.08% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 14.7% (+0.61)
Under 4.5 85.3% (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 27.79% (-0.79)
Draw 47.88% (+0.61)
Jubilo Iwata 24.32% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 48.57% (-0.91)
No Goal 8.04% (-0.30)
Jubilo Iwata 43.39% (+1.21)

Corners

Over 8 61.3% (+2.05)
Equal 8 11.12% (-0.25)
Under 8 27.58% (-1.81)
Over 9 49.64% (+2.11)
Equal 9 11.65% (-0.08)
Under 9 38.7% (-2.05)
Over 10.5 38.45% (+2.00)
Under 10.5 61.55% (-2.00)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 40.37% (-1.14)
Under 1.5 59.63% (+1.14)
Over 2.5 16.58% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 83.42% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 5.51% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 94.49% (+0.29)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% (+2.80)
Under 0.5 33.76% (-2.81)
Over 1.5 31.64% (+2.77)
Under 1.5 68.36% (-2.77)
Over 2.5 11.45% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 88.55% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 3.37% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 96.63% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 41.78%
Draw 27.73%
Jubilo Iwata 30.44%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 10.33% (-1.04)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.67)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.51)
3-2 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.31% (-0.31)
Total : 41.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.42)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 27.73%
Jubilo Iwata
0-1 @ 8.39% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 7.14% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.53)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.34)
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.22)
Other @ 3.17% (+0.49)
Total : 30.44%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 2.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Yamaha Stadium
J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 22, 2022 8.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thiago 34' goal
  • goal Ryo Germain 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 26, 2022 4.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa
  • Norimichi Yamamoto 17' yellowcard
  • Yuto Suzuki 23' goal
  • Norimichi Yamamoto 74' redcard
  • Fabian Andres Gonzalez Lasso 78' redcard
  • Fabian Gonzalez 78' redcard
  • Kentaro Oi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Yuito Suzuki 9'
  • goal Katsuhiro Nakayama 67'