Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Matsumoto Yamaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.30am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 2 Shimizu S-Pulse

Matsumoto Yamaga

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Matsumoto Yamaga had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Matsumoto Yamaga win was 0-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 48.05% (+2.02)
Draw 25.88% (+0.71)
Matsumoto Yamaga 26.07% (-2.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.77% (-2.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.28% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 25.72% (+1.35)
Over 2.5 49.95% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 50.05% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 28.31% (-1.33)
Under 3.5 71.69% (+1.38)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 36.58% (+0.79)
Draw 42.86% (-0.51)
Matsumoto Yamaga 20.56% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 56.88% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.15% (+0.57)
Matsumoto Yamaga 35.97% (-0.81)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% (+1.79)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.28)
Under 8 31.4% (-2.06)
Over 9 45.2% (+1.36)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.43)
Under 9 43.03% (-1.79)
Over 10.5 34.26% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 65.74% (-0.86)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 44.92% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 55.08% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 20.33% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 79.67% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 7.29% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 92.71% (-0.39)

Matsumoto Yamaga Goals

Over 0.5 62.14% (-2.96)
Under 0.5 37.86% (+2.97)
Over 1.5 28.15% (-2.63)
Under 1.5 71.85% (+2.62)
Over 2.5 9.57% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 90.43% (+1.45)
Over 3.5 2.78% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 97.22% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 48.07%
Draw 25.88%
Matsumoto Yamaga 26.05%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.39% (+1.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.65)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.31)
Other @ 7.17% (+0.27)
Total : 48.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.15% (+0.57)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.11)
Total : 25.88%
Matsumoto Yamaga
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.53)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.66% (-0.80)
Total : 26.05%