Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Matsumoto Yamaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 2.30am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 2 Shimizu S-Pulse

Matsumoto Yamaga

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Matsumoto Yamaga has a probability of 26.07% and a draw has a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Matsumoto Yamaga win is 0-1 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Shimizu S-Pulse 48.05% (+2.02)
Draw 25.88% (+0.71)
Matsumoto Yamaga 26.07% (-2.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.77% (-2.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.28% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 25.72% (+1.35)
Over 2.5 49.95% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 50.05% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 28.31% (-1.33)
Under 3.5 71.69% (+1.38)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Shimizu S-Pulse 36.58% (+0.79)
Draw 42.86% (-0.51)
Matsumoto Yamaga 20.56% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Shimizu S-Pulse 56.88% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.15% (+0.57)
Matsumoto Yamaga 35.97% (-0.81)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% (+1.79)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.28)
Under 8 31.4% (-2.06)
Over 9 45.2% (+1.36)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.43)
Under 9 43.03% (-1.79)
Over 10.5 34.26% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 65.74% (-0.86)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 1.5 44.92% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 55.08% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 20.33% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 79.67% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 7.29% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 92.71% (-0.39)

Matsumoto Yamaga Goals

Over 0.5 62.14% (-2.96)
Under 0.5 37.86% (+2.97)
Over 1.5 28.15% (-2.63)
Under 1.5 71.85% (+2.62)
Over 2.5 9.57% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 90.43% (+1.45)
Over 3.5 2.78% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 97.22% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 48.07%
Draw 25.88%
Matsumoto Yamaga 26.05%
Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.39% (+1.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (+0.65)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.31)
Other @ 7.17% (+0.27)
Total : 48.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.15% (+0.57)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.11)
Total : 25.88%
Matsumoto Yamaga
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.53)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.66% (-0.80)
Total : 26.05%