Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.