Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kagoshima United win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kagoshima United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.