Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Dec 5, 2020 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
4 - 3
Tondela

Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Tondela
69.81%	18.5%	11.68%

Both teams to score 47.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01%

43.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62%

66.38%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.58%

11.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.8%

36.2%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.07%

46.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57%

82.43%

Score Analysis

Porto 69.8%

Tondela 11.68%

Draw 18.5%

Porto	Draw	Tondela
2-0 @ 12.61% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.8%	1-1 @ 8.8% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.5%	0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.68%