Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Egypt win was 1-0 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.