World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00am
Seattle Stadium

Egypt vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 2.00am
New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt

Iran

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 8.00pm
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Egypt has a probability of 34% and a draw has a probability of 27.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Egypt win is 1-0 (10.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.06%).

Result

Egypt 34% (+3.20)
Draw 27.75% (-0.15)
Iran 38.3% (-3.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.15% (+1.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.62% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 31.38% (-1.05)
Over 2.5 42.4% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 57.6% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 21.65% (+0.85)
Under 3.5 78.35% (-0.86)
Over 4.5 10.89% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 89.11% (-0.44)

Egypt Goals

Over 1.5 30.58% (+3.18)
Under 1.5 69.42% (-3.18)
Over 2.5 10.52% (+1.74)
Under 2.5 89.48% (-1.73)
Over 3.5 2.88% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 97.12% (-0.65)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% (-1.44)
Under 0.5 31.21% (+1.45)
Over 1.5 34% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 66% (+1.66)
Over 2.5 12.55% (-1.11)
Under 2.5 87.45% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 3.7% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 96.3% (+0.51)

Score analysis

Egypt 33.99%
Draw 27.75%
Iran 38.3%
Egypt
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.46% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 6.11% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 2.85% (+0.44)
3-0 @ 2.32% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 1.75% (+0.22)
Other @ 2.82% (+0.64)
Total : 33.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.75%
Iran
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.84)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.78)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.64% (-0.52)
Total : 38.3%