Women's World Cup | Round of 16

Aug 6, 2023 at 10am UK

AAMI Park

Sweden Women
0 - 0
USA Women

Asllani (49')

FT
(aet)

Ertz (119')

Sweden Women win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Argentina Women 0-2 Sweden Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	8	9
2	South Africa Women	3	0	4
3	Italy Women	3	-5	3
4	Argentina Women	3	-3	1

USA Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Portugal Women 0-0 USA Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	8	7
2	USA Women	3	3	5
3	Portugal Women	3	1	4
4	Vietnam Women	3	-12	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
48.09% ( 0.41)	25.25% ( 0.36)	26.66% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 52.56% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

-1.99)

50.46% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

-1.79)

72.39% (

1.79)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

-0.63)

21% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.21% (

-0.99)

53.78% (

0.99)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-1.65)

33.46% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

-1.85)

70.09% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 48.08%

USA Women 26.66%

Draw 25.24%

Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.08%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.66%