Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Women win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.