Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 29, 2023 at 8.30am UK

Westpac Stadium

Sweden Women
5 - 0
Italy Women

Ilestedt (39', 50'), Rolfo (44'), Blackstenius (45+1'), Blomqvist (90+5')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Sweden Women 2-1 S. Africa Women
Sunday, July 23 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	1	1	3
2	Italy Women	1	1	3
3	South Africa Women	2	-1	1
4	Argentina Women	2	-1	1

Italy Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Italy Women 1-0 Argentina Women
Monday, July 24 at 7am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	1	1	3
2	Italy Women	1	1	3
3	South Africa Women	2	-1	1
4	Argentina Women	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Italy Women had a probability of 15.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Italy Women win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Italy Women
63.29% ( 0.08)	21.41% ( -0.04)	15.3% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5% (

0.12)

48.5% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37% (

0.11)

70.63% (

-0.11)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

0.06)

14.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

0.12)

42.86% (

-0.12)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.84% (

0.03)

44.16% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.75% (

0.02)

80.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 63.29%

Italy Women 15.3%

Draw 21.41%

Sweden Women	Draw	Italy Women
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.29%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.41%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.3%