Women's World Cup
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-
Amanda Ilestedt
39'
-
Fridolina Rolfo
44'
-
Stina Blackstenius
45'+1'
-
Amanda Ilestedt
50'
-
Rebecka Blomqvist
90'+5'
Sweden Women vs Italy Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Italy Women had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Italy Women win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.
Result
Sweden Women
63.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
21.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Italy Women
15.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
47.64%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.5%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
48.5%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
29.37%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
70.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
14.24%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
85.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5
85.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
14.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
57.13%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
42.86%
▼
(-0.13)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5
55.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
44.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
19.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
80.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Sweden Women
63.29%
Draw
21.41%
Italy Women
15.3%
Sweden Women
1-0
@
12.44%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.29%
2-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.29%
Draw
1-1
@
10.17%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.41%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.41%
Italy Women
0-1
@
5.3%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.3%
1-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.3%