Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.66%) and 3-1 (5.52%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.