Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Semi-Finals

Aug 2, 2021 at 12pm UK

Nissan Stadium

Australia Women
0 - 1
Sweden Women

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rolfo (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Australia Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.69%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	Sweden Women
36.78%	21.53%	41.69%

Both teams to score 71.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.65%

28.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.82%

49.18%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37%

16.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54%

46.46%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3%

14.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.11%

42.89%

Score Analysis

Australia Women 36.78%

Sweden Women 41.69%

Draw 21.53%

Australia Women	Draw	Sweden Women
2-1 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.51% 1-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.94% 4-3 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.78%	1-1 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 7.23% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-1 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.48% Total : 41.69%