Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 21, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Australia Women
2 - 1
N.Zealand Women

Butt (20'), Kerr (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

G (90+1')
Joan Bott (72'), Bowen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Australia Women and New Zealand Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 92.89%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 1.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 5-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.43%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-2 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result
Australia Women	Draw	New Zealand Women
92.89%	5.2%	1.91%

Both teams to score 40.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.13%

17.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.95%

35.05%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.02%

1.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

90.26%

9.73%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.38%

58.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.07%

89.93%

Score Analysis

Australia Women 92.88%

New Zealand Women 1.91%

Draw 5.2%

Australia Women	Draw	New Zealand Women
3-0 @ 11.72% 4-0 @ 11.53% 5-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-1 @ 6.16% 6-0 @ 5.94% 5-1 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.55% 7-0 @ 3.34% 6-1 @ 3.18% 7-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 4.53% Total : 92.88%	1-1 @ 2.43% 2-2 @ 1.28% 0-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.34% Total : 5.2%	Other @ 1.91% Total : 1.91%