Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 21, 2021 at 9.30am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Sweden Women
3 - 0
USA Women

Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Sweden Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
29.16%	23.13%	47.7%

Both teams to score 61.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.6%

39.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.26%

61.74%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08%

25.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09%

60.91%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.19%

16.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.21%

46.79%

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 29.16%

USA Women 47.7%

Draw 23.13%

Sweden Women	Draw	USA Women
2-1 @ 7.08% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.97% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.16%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 9.35% 0-1 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.75% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.7%