Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 27, 2021 at 9am UK

Miyagi Stadium

N.Zealand Women
0 - 2
Sweden Women

Percival (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Anvegard (17'), Janogy (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between New Zealand Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	Sweden Women
23.92%	22.57%	53.51%

Both teams to score 58.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84%

41.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45%

63.54%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04%

66.95%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61%

15.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81%

44.19%

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 23.92%

Sweden Women 53.51%

Draw 22.57%

New Zealand Women	Draw	Sweden Women
2-1 @ 6.17% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.92%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.85% 0-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.51%