Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 24, 2021 9.30am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Fridolina Rolfo 20' goal
  • Lina Hurtig 52' goal
  • Fridolina Rolfo 63' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 82' goal
  • goal Samantha Kerr 36'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 48'

Sweden Women vs Australia Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 21, 2021 9.30am
Sweden Women 3 - 0 USA Women

Australia Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 21, 2021 12.30pm
Australia Women 2 - 1 New Zealand W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result

Sweden Women 55.36%
Draw 24.3%
Australia Women 20.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.45%
Under 2.5 52.55%
Over 3.5 25.79%
Under 3.5 74.21%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.12%
Under 0.5 18.87%
Over 1.5 49.65%
Under 1.5 50.34%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5 59.53%
Under 0.5 40.47%
Over 1.5 22.92%
Under 1.5 77.08%

Score analysis

Sweden Women 55.35%
Draw 24.3%
Australia Women 20.33%
Sweden Women
1-0 @ 12.73%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 5.34%
4-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 55.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.3%
Australia Women
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head

Women's World Cup
Jun 17, 2015 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton
  • Lisa De Vanna 5' goal
  • goal Sofia Jakobsson 15'