Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Bramall Lane

England Women
4 - 0
Sweden Women

Mead (34'), Bronze (48'), Russo (68'), Kirby (76')
Stanway (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bjorn (73')

The Match

Match Report

England advance to the final of Women's Euro 2022 after teaching Sweden a footballing lesson in a stunning 4-0 semi-final victory at Bramall Lane.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's European Championship clash between England Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Women

Last Six:

Last Game: England Women 2-1 Spain Women
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Women	3	14	9
2	Austria Women	3	2	6
3	Norway Women	3	-6	3
4	Northern Ireland Women	3	-10	0

Sweden Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden Women 1-0 Belgium Women
Friday, July 22 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	6	7
2	Netherlands Women	3	4	7
3	Switzerland Women	3	-4	1
4	Portugal Women	3	-6	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
England Women	Draw	Sweden Women
41.8% ( 0)	23.34% ( -0.01)	34.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.57% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.02% (

0.05)

37.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.76% (

0.05)

60.23% (

-0.06)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

0.02)

18.6% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1% (

0.04)

49.89% (

-0.04)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

0.02)

21.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.04)

55.15% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

England Women 41.8%

Sweden Women 34.85%

Draw 23.34%

England Women	Draw	Sweden Women
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.85%