Women's European Championship
Jul 26, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bramall Lane
  • Beth Mead 34' goal
  • Lucy Bronze 48' goal
  • Alessia Russo 68' goal
  • Fran Kirby 76' goal
  • Georgia Stanway 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathalie Bjorn 73'

England Women vs Sweden Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

England Women

All competitions

Sweden Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result

England Women 41.8% (+0.01)
Draw 23.34% (-0.01)
Sweden Women 34.85% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.57% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.02% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 37.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 39.76% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 60.23% (-0.02)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.39% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.6% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.1% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.89% (-0.01)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5 78.1% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.15% (-0.02)

Score analysis

England Women 41.8%
Draw 23.34%
Sweden Women 34.85%
England Women
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.34%
Sweden Women
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

Women's World Cup
Jul 6, 2019 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Allianz Riviera, Nice
  • Fran Kirby 31' goal
  • Jade Moore 94' yellowcard
  • goal Kosovare Asllani 11'
  • goal Sofia Jakobsson 22'
  • yellowcard Hedvig Lindahl 85'