Women's European Championship
Jul 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • goal Fran Kirby 40'
  • goal Beth Mead 44'
  • goal Alessia Russo 48'
  • goal Alessia Russo 53'
  • goal Kelsie Burrows 76' (OG)

Northern Ireland Women vs England Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland Women

All competitions
Women's European Championship
Last game
Jul 11, 2022 5.00pm
Austria Women 2 - 0 N Ireland Women

England Women

All competitions
Women's European Championship
Last game
Jul 11, 2022 8.00pm
England Women 8 - 0 Norway Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Northern Ireland Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Women win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-5 win for England Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England Women.

Result

Northern Ireland Women 27.85% (-0.02)
Draw 22.88% (-0.01)
England Women 49.26% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.86% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 39.13% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 38.54% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.46% (-0.03)

Northern Ireland Women Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.91% (+0.01)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5 83.86% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 16.14% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.57% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland Women 27.85%
Draw 22.88%
England Women 49.26%
Northern Ireland Women
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 27.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.88%
England Women
1-2 @ 9.46% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 49.26%

Build-up

News