Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Women win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Northern Ireland Women had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Women win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria Women would win this match.