Sweden national football team
Women's European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Sweden Women
1 - 0
Belgium Women

Sembrant (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Biesmans (16'), Philtjens (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's European Championship clash between Sweden Women and Belgium Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Portugal Women
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Italy Women 0-1 Belgium Women
Monday, July 18 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Belgium Women had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Belgium Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden Women.

Result
Sweden WomenDrawBelgium Women
61.28% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)22.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)16.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)71.77% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)44.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Belgium Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)43.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)79.58% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 61.27%
    Belgium Women 16.49%
    Draw 22.23%
Sweden WomenDrawBelgium Women
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 61.27%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Sweden Women vs Belgium Women

Sweden Women
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Belgium Women
0.0%
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