Sweden national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Westpac Stadium
South Africa national football team

Sweden Women
2 - 1
S. Africa Women

Rolfo (65'), Ilestedt (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Magaia (48')
Biyana (74'), Jane (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and South Africa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions
Last Game: England Women 4-0 Sweden Women
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

South Africa Women

Last Game: S. Africa Women 0-4 Germany Women
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 92.11%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 1.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 4-0 (12.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.85%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (0.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden WomenDrawSouth Africa Women
92.11% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)6.17% (0.1311 0.13)1.72% (0.062 0.06)
Both teams to score 29.31% (0.359 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.53% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)27.48% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.91% (-0.276 -0.28)48.09% (0.277 0.28)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.67% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)3.33% (0.0621 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.35% (-0.214 -0.21)14.65% (0.215 0.22)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
30.32% (0.39 0.39)69.69% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.15% (0.1379 0.14)94.86% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 92.09%
    South Africa Women 1.72%
    Draw 6.17%
Sweden WomenDrawSouth Africa Women
3-0 @ 15.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 13.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 12.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 8.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.067 0.07)
6-0 @ 5% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 4.85% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.68% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 2.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
8-0 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 92.09%
1-1 @ 2.85% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 6.17%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 1.72%

How you voted: Sweden Women vs S. Africa Women

Sweden Women
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
South Africa Women
8.3%
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