Women's World Cup
Jul 23, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Fridolina Rolfo 65' goal
  • Amanda Ilestedt 90' goal
  • goal Hildah Magaia 48'
  • yellowcard Kholosa Biyana 74'
  • yellowcard Refiloe Jane 89'

Sweden Women vs South Africa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

All competitions

South Africa Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 92.11%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 1.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 4-0 (12.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.85%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (0.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result

Sweden Women 92.11% (-0.20)
Draw 6.17% (+0.14)
South Africa Women 1.72% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.31% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.53% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 27.48% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 51.91% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 48.09% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 32.52% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 67.48% (+0.27)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5 96.67% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 3.33% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 85.35% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 14.65% (+0.22)

South Africa Women Goals

Over 0.5 30.32% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 69.69% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 5.15% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 94.86% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Sweden Women 92.09%
Draw 6.17%
South Africa Women 1.72%
Sweden Women
3-0 @ 15.22% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 13.42% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 12.95% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 8.82% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 7.89% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.07)
6-0 @ 5% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 4.85% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.68% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 2.43% (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
8-0 @ 1.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 92.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.85% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 6.17%
South Africa Women
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 1.72%