Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.