Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Switzerland Women had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.46%) and 0-1 (5.02%). The likeliest Switzerland Women win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.