Women's European Championship
Jul 13, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Damaris Egurrola 7' goal
  • Stephanie van der Gragt 16' goal
  • Dominique Bloodworth 37' yellowcard
  • Damaris Egurrola 39' yellowcard
  • Lineth Beerensteyn 54' yellowcard
  • Danielle van de Donk 62' goal
  • Jill Roord 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Catarina Amado 17'
  • goal Carole Costa 38'
  • goal Diana Silva 47'
  • yellowcard Diana Gomes 88'
  • yellowcard Ines Pereira 90'+6'

Netherlands Women vs Portugal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands Women

All competitions
Women's European Championship
Last game
Jul 9, 2022 8.00pm
N'lands Women 1 - 1 Sweden Women

Portugal Women

All competitions
Women's European Championship
Last game
Jul 9, 2022 5.00pm
Portugal Women 2 - 2 Switzerland W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.

Result

Netherlands Women 56.3% (-0.15)
Draw 24.17% (+0.05)
Portugal Women 19.53% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 47% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53.01% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.6% (+0.02)

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.31% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.69% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 49.96% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 50.04% (+0.11)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5 58.39% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 41.61% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 21.9% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 78.1% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Netherlands Women 56.29%
Draw 24.17%
Portugal Women 19.53%
Netherlands Women
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 56.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.17%
Portugal Women
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.01% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.53%