Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Group Stage

Jul 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Leigh Sports Village Stadium

N'lands Women
3 - 2
Portugal Women

Egurrola (7'), van der Gragt (16'), van de Donk (62')
Bloodworth (37'), Egurrola (39'), Beerensteyn (54'), Roord (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Costa (38' pen.), Silva (47')
Amado (17'), Gomes (88'), Pereira (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's European Championship clash between Netherlands Women and Portugal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands Women

Last Six:

Last Game: N'lands Women 1-1 Sweden Women
Saturday, July 9 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	1	0	1
2	Portugal Women	1	0	1
3	Netherlands Women	1	0	1
4	Sweden Women	1	0	1

Portugal Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Portugal Women 2-2 Switzerland W
Saturday, July 9 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	1	0	1
2	Portugal Women	1	0	1
3	Netherlands Women	1	0	1
4	Sweden Women	1	0	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.

Result
Netherlands Women	Draw	Portugal Women
56.3% ( -0.15)	24.17% ( 0.04)	19.53% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 47.47% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47% (

-0.02)

53.01% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4% (

-0.02)

74.6% (

0.02)

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

-0.07)

18.69% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.96% (

-0.11)

50.04% (

0.11)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.39% (

0.11)

41.61% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

0.1)

78.1% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Netherlands Women 56.29%

Portugal Women 19.53%

Draw 24.17%

Netherlands Women	Draw	Portugal Women
1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.29%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.53%