Women's World Cup
N'lands Women
Jul 23, 2023 8.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Forsyth Barr Stadium at University Plaza
Portugal Women
  • Stephanie van der Gragt 13' goal
  • Danielle van de Donk 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jessica da Silva 56'
  • yellowcard Diana Gomes 84'

Netherlands Women vs Portugal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands Women

All competitions

Portugal Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.

Result

Netherlands Women 72.78% ▲ (+0.51)
Draw 16.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Portugal Women 11.11% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.86% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.89% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 34.11% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 44.01% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 55.99% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 25.45% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 74.55% ▼ (-0.22)

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5 91.87% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 8.13% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 71.48% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 28.52% ▼ (-0.41)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5 58.63% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 41.37% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 22.11% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 77.88% ▲ (+0.31)

Score analysis

Netherlands Women 72.78%
Draw 16.1%
Portugal Women 11.11%
Netherlands Women
2-0 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 72.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.1%
Portugal Women
1-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 11.11%

Head to Head

Women's European Championship
N'lands Women
Jul 13, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
Portugal Women
  • Damaris Egurrola 7' goal
  • Stephanie van der Gragt 16' goal
  • Dominique Bloodworth 37' yellowcard
  • Damaris Egurrola 39' yellowcard
  • Lineth Beerensteyn 54' yellowcard
  • Danielle van de Donk 62' goal
  • Jill Roord 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Catarina Amado 17'
  • goal Carole Costa 38'
  • goal Diana Silva 47'
  • yellowcard Diana Gomes 88'
  • yellowcard Ines Pereira 90'+6'

Form Data

France Women 1 - 0 N'lands Women
Switzerland W 1 - 4 N'lands Women
N'lands Women 3 - 2 Portugal Women
N'lands Women 1 - 1 Sweden Women
N'lands Women 2 - 2 USA Women
N'lands Women 8 - 2 China PR Women
Sweden Women 5 - 0 Portugal Women
N'lands Women 3 - 2 Portugal Women
Portugal Women 2 - 2 Switzerland W