Women's World Cup
Aug 1, 2023 8.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eden Park
  • Carole Costa 56' yellowcard
  • Diana Gomes 72' yellowcard
  • Catarina Amado 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rose Lavelle 39'
  • yellowcard Sophia Smith 52'
  • yellowcard Naomi Haile Girma 81'

Portugal Women vs USA Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 8.30am
Portugal Women 2 - 0 Vietnam Women

USA Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 2.00am
USA Women 1 - 1 N'lands Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Women win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Portugal Women 50.43% (-1.76)
Draw 24.26% (+0.75)
USA Women 25.32% (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.48% (-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.64% (-2.32)
Under 2.5 47.36% (+2.32)
Over 3.5 30.42% (-2.19)
Under 3.5 69.58% (+2.19)
Over 4.5 14.97% (-1.55)
Under 4.5 85.04% (+1.56)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.19% (-1.55)
Under 0.5 18.81% (+1.55)
Over 1.5 49.77% (-2.65)
Under 1.5 50.23% (+2.65)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 67.1% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 32.9% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 30.53% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 69.47% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Portugal Women 50.42%
Draw 24.26%
USA Women 25.32%
Portugal Women
1-0 @ 10.33% (+0.48)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.35)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.23)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.27)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (+0.42)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.58)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.26%
USA Women
0-1 @ 6.88% (+0.58)
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.42% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.32%