The Match
Match Report
Spain Women will compete in the Women's World Cup final for the first time thanks to a chaotic 2-1 win over Sweden Women in Tuesday's semi-final in Auckland.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain Women 2-1 N'lands Women
Friday, August 11 at 2am in Women's World Cup
Friday, August 11 at 2am in Women's World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Zambia Women | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 4 | Costa Rica Women | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Japan Women 1-2 Sweden Women
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Italy Women | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Argentina Women | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
| 69.09% | 17.68% | 13.23% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Spain Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% | 9.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.25% | 31.75% |
| Sweden Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% | 39.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.98% | 76.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Spain Women 69.08%
Sweden Women 13.23%
Draw 17.68%
| Spain Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 4.79% 4-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.54% 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.35% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.51% 0-0 @ 3.72% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 3.82% 0-1 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.73% Total : 13.23% |
How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Bath
Winner Quarter-final 1
47.2%Draw
24.5%Bath Rugby
28.3%53
Form Guide


