Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals

Aug 11, 2023 at 8.30am UK

Eden Park

Japan Women
1 - 2
Sweden Women

Hayashi (87')
Ueki (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ilestedt (32'), Angeldal (51' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Japan Women 3-1 Norway Women
Saturday, August 5 at 9am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	3	11	9
2	Spain Women	3	4	6
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	3
4	Costa Rica Women	3	-7	0

Sweden Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Sweden Women 0-0 USA Women (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	8	9
2	South Africa Women	3	0	4
3	Italy Women	3	-5	3
4	Argentina Women	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Sweden Women
51.63%	25.73%	22.63%

Both teams to score 47.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48%

55.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3%

76.69%

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45%

21.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38%

54.62%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18%

39.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52%

76.48%

Score Analysis

Japan Women 51.62%

Sweden Women 22.64%

Draw 25.72%

Japan Women	Draw	Sweden Women
1-0 @ 13.16% 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.62%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.64%