Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.