Women's World Cup
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Ingrid Syrstad Engen
15'
-
Risa Shimizu
50'
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Hinata Miyazawa
81'
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Guro Reiten
20'
Japan Women vs Norway Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Norway Women had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Norway Women win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
Result
Japan Women
68.08%
▲
(+0.39)
Draw
18.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Norway Women
13.26%
▼
(-0.37)
Both Teams to Score:
51.38%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.26%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 2.5
40.74%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 3.5
36.87%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 3.5
63.13%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 4.5
19.68%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 4.5
80.32%
▲
(+0.63)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5
89.03%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
10.96%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
64.8%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
35.2%
▲
(+0.27)
Norway Women Goals
Over 0.5
57.71%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 0.5
42.29%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 1.5
21.31%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 1.5
78.68%
▲
(+0.92)
Score analysis
Japan Women
68.07%
Draw
18.65%
Norway Women
13.26%
Japan Women
2-0
@
11.32%
▲
(+0.30)
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 68.07%
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 68.07%
Draw
1-1
@
8.82%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.65%
0-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.65%
Norway Women
0-1
@
3.99%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.26%
1-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.26%