Women's World Cup | Round of 16

Aug 5, 2023 at 9am UK

Westpac Stadium

Japan Women
3 - 1
Norway Women

Syrstad Engen (15' og.), Shimizu (50'), Miyazawa (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reiten (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Norway Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Spain Women
Monday, July 31 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	3	11	9
2	Spain Women	3	4	6
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	3
4	Costa Rica Women	3	-7	0

Norway Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Norway Women 6-0 Philippines W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	3	2	5
2	Norway Women	3	5	4
3	New Zealand Women	3	0	4
4	Philippines Women	3	-7	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Norway Women had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Norway Women win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan Women	Draw	Norway Women
68.08% ( 0.39)	18.65% ( -0.02)	13.26% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26% (

-0.78)

40.74% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.87% (

-0.81)

63.13% (

0.81)

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.03% (

-0.12)

10.96% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.8% (

-0.26)

35.2% (

0.26)

Norway Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71% (

-1.05)

42.29% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.31% (

-0.91)

78.68% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Japan Women 68.07%

Norway Women 13.26%

Draw 18.65%

Japan Women	Draw	Norway Women
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.05% Total : 68.07%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.13) Other @ 1% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.26%