Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Women win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	Norway Women
26.87% ( -1.01)	22.75% ( -0.82)	50.38% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77% (

3.08)

39.23% (

-3.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

3.15)

61.56% (

-3.15)

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.87)

27.4% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

1.11)

62.88% (

-1.12)

Norway Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

1.82)

15.78% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09% (

3.26)

44.91% (

-3.26)

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 26.87%

Norway Women 50.38%

Draw 22.74%

New Zealand Women	Draw	Norway Women
2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.69) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.87%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.65) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.33) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.33) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.38%