Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Women win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.