Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 24, 2021 12.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 2
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Betsy Hassett 72' goal
  • goal Rose Lavelle 9'
  • goal Lindsey Horan 45'
  • goal Ali Krieger 63' (OG)
  • goal Christen Press 80'
  • goal Alex Morgan 87'
  • goal C. Bott 90'+3' (OG)

New Zealand Women vs USA Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 21, 2021 12.30pm
Australia Women 2 - 1 New Zealand W

USA Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 21, 2021 9.30am
Sweden Women 3 - 0 USA Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result

New Zealand Women 19.49%
Draw 22.61%
USA Women 57.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.23%
Under 2.5 46.77%
Over 3.5 30.97%
Under 3.5 69.03%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5 61.96%
Under 0.5 38.04%
Over 1.5 25.19%
Under 1.5 74.81%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5 84.13%
Under 0.5 15.87%
Over 1.5 54.92%
Under 1.5 45.07%

Score analysis

New Zealand Women 19.49%
Draw 22.6%
USA Women 57.89%
New Zealand Women
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-1 @ 5.19%
2-0 @ 2.82%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.6%
USA Women
0-1 @ 11.11%
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 6.07%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-4 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 57.89%