Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

N.Zealand Women
1 - 6
USA Women

Hassett (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lavelle (9'), Horan (45'), Krieger (63' og.), Press (80'), Morgan (87'), Bott (90+3' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between New Zealand Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand Women	Draw	USA Women
19.49%	22.61%	57.9%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23%

46.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97%

69.03%

New Zealand Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96%

38.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19%

74.81%

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13%

15.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.92%

45.07%

Score Analysis

New Zealand Women 19.49%

USA Women 57.89%

Draw 22.6%

New Zealand Women	Draw	USA Women
1-0 @ 5.83% 2-1 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 2.82% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.49%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 11.11% 0-2 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.06% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.28% Total : 57.89%