Women's World Cup | Round of 16

Aug 5, 2023 at 6am UK

Eden Park

Switzerland W
1 - 5
Spain Women

Codina (11' og.)
Stierli (73')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Bonmati (5', 36'), Redondo (17'), Codina (45'), Hermoso (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Switzerland Women and Spain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Switzerland W 0-0 New Zealand W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland Women	3	2	5
2	Norway Women	3	5	4
3	New Zealand Women	3	0	4
4	Philippines Women	3	-7	3

Spain Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Japan Women 4-0 Spain Women
Monday, July 31 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	3	11	9
2	Spain Women	3	4	6
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	3
4	Costa Rica Women	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Switzerland Women had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Switzerland Women win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.

Result
Switzerland Women	Draw	Spain Women
17.73% ( 1.07)	21.65% ( 1.39)	60.62% ( -2.46)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

-2.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

-4.35)

45.29% (

4.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

-4.3)

67.63% (

4.3)

Switzerland Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85% (

-1.33)

39.15% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

-1.27)

75.86% (

1.28)

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51% (

-2.11)

14.48% (

2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.53% (

-4.24)

42.46% (

4.24)

Score Analysis

Switzerland Women 17.73%

Spain Women 60.61%

Draw 21.65%

Switzerland Women	Draw	Spain Women
1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 17.73%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.65%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 1.17) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.53) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.31) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.28) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.61%