Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Switzerland Women had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Switzerland Women win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.