Spain national football team
Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Aug 11, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Spain Women
2 - 1
N'lands Women

Hermoso (37'), Caldentey (81' pen., 81' pen.), Paralluelo (111', 111')
Hernandez Zurbano (35'), Hernandez (35')
FT
(aet)
van der Gragt (90+1', 90+1')
Egurrola (61'), Egurrola (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Netherlands Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Switzerland W 1-5 Spain Women
Saturday, August 5 at 6am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: N'lands Women 2-0 S. Africa Women
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 1-2 (4.26%).

Result
Spain WomenDrawNetherlands Women
67.04%17.21%15.75%
Both teams to score 64.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.2%27.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.51%48.49%
Spain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26%7.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.45%27.55%
Netherlands Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45%30.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23%66.77%
Score Analysis
    Spain Women 67.04%
    Netherlands Women 15.75%
    Draw 17.21%
Spain WomenDrawNetherlands Women
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-0 @ 6.6%
1-0 @ 6.05%
4-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 4.64%
4-0 @ 4.22%
4-2 @ 2.97%
5-1 @ 2.56%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.52%
4-3 @ 1.17%
6-1 @ 1.09%
6-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 2.37%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.21%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-1 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 1.68%
0-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 15.75%

How you voted: Spain Women vs Netherlands Women

Spain Women
51.4%
Draw
16.7%
Netherlands Women
31.9%
72