Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 1-2 (4.26%).