Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm
Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 New Saints

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Pen-y-Bont has a probability of 27.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win is 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).

Result

Caernarfon Town 48.67% (+0.08)
Draw 24.12%
Pen-y-Bont 27.21% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.14% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.24% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.76% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.86% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 40.14% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.24% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.76% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.53% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.47% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 37.04% (+0.01)
Draw 37.31% (+0.02)
Pen-y-Bont 25.65% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 57.37% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.21% (+0.01)
Pen-y-Bont 37.42% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.37% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 29.46% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.84% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.63% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.92% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.08% (-0.03)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.48% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.52% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 26.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.5% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 88.5% (+0.05)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 64.53% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.47% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 33.45% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.55% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.31% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.69% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.55% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.45% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 48.67%
Draw 24.11%
Pen-y-Bont 27.22%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.95% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.24% (-0.04)
Total : 48.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 24.11%
Pen-y-Bont
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.01)
Total : 27.22%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Oval
  • Adrian Cieslewicz 9' goal
  • Rio Lloyd Owen 20' goal
  • Iwan Lewis 60' yellowcard
  • Morgan Owen 78' yellowcard
  • Dominic Smith 79' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ioan Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Ash Baker 71'
  • yellowcard Owain Warlow 74'
  • yellowcard Juan Carlos Villacorta 75'
Welsh Premier League
Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Ash Baker 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Joe Woodiwiss 64' yellowcard
  • Owain Warlow 73' yellowcard
  • Jacob Jones 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Owen 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rio Lloyd Owen 63'
  • yellowcard Iwan Lewis 68'
  • yellowcard Connor Salisbury 79'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Sep 20, 2025 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 9' goal
  • Clayton Green 75' goal
  • James Crole 90'+2' goal
  • goal Louis Lloyd 20'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Oval
  • Adam Davies 7' goal
  • Adam Davies 51' goal
  • Blaine Hudson 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 30'
  • goal James Crole 57'
  • goal James Crole 63'