Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 5'
Chris Marriott 31'
Danny Gosset 41'
Ryan Sears 75'

Tom Mehew 19'
Ryan Hill 33'

Caernarfon Town vs Pen-y-Bont - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
L
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

D
L
L
W
D
L

Welsh Premier League

D
W
D
L
L
D

Last game

Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 New Saints

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 48.67%

Draw 24.12%

Pen-y-Bont 27.21%

Both Teams to Score:

61.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.25% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 18.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 59.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 40.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 38.24%

Under 3.5 61.76%

Over 4.5 23.53%

Under 4.5 76.47%

First Half Winner

Caernarfon Town 37.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 37.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Pen-y-Bont 25.65%

Team To Score First

Caernarfon Town 57.37%

No Goal 5.21%

Pen-y-Bont 37.42%

Corners

Over 8 59.37%

Equal 8 11.17%

Under 8 29.46%

Over 9 47.84%

Equal 9 11.53%

Under 9 40.63%

Over 10.5 36.92%

Under 10.5 63.08%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 1.5 51.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 48.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 26.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 73.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 11.5%

Under 3.5 88.5%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 64.53%

Under 0.5 35.47%

Over 1.5 33.45%

Under 1.5 66.55%

Over 2.5 13.31%

Under 2.5 86.69%

Over 3.5 4.55%

Under 3.5 95.45%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 48.68%

Draw 24.11%

Pen-y-Bont 27.21%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 9.37%

1-0 @ 7.95%

2-0 @ 7%

3-1 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 4.07%

3-2 @ 3.61%

Other @ 11.24%

Total : 48.68%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.68%

2-2 @ 6.37%

0-0 @ 5.21%

3-3 @ 1.59%

Other @ 0.26%

Total : 24.11%

Pen-y-Bont

1-2 @ 6.46%

0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.7%

1-3 @ 2.9%

2-3 @ 2.54%

0-3 @ 1.73%

Other @ 4.29%

Total : 27.21%

Head to Head

Apr 18, 2026 5.15pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT The Oval

Adrian Cieslewicz 9'
Rio Lloyd Owen 20'
Iwan Lewis 60'
Morgan Owen 78'
Dominic Smith 79'
Darren Thomas 87'

Ioan Phillips 66'
Ash Baker 71'
Owain Warlow 74'
Juan Carlos Villacorta 75'

Jan 24, 2026 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Brewery Field

Ash Baker 45'+2'
Joe Woodiwiss 64'
Owain Warlow 73'
Jacob Jones 88'

Morgan Owen 45'+2'
Rio Lloyd Owen 63'
Iwan Lewis 68'
Connor Salisbury 79'

Oct 25, 2025 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Sep 20, 2025 5.15pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 13, 2025 2.30pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Bryntirion Park

James Crole 9'
Clayton Green 75'
James Crole 90'+2'

Louis Lloyd 20'

Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 7'
Adam Davies 51'
Blaine Hudson 72'

Kane Owen 30'
James Crole 57'
James Crole 63'

Form Data

Connah's Quay 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Levadia 5 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia

Glentoran 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Colwyn Bay 0 - 2 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 New Saints

Santa Coloma 3 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Santa Coloma

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Colwyn Bay 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Pen-y-Bont