Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.