Welsh Premier League
May 2, 2026 5.25pm
Brewery Field

Pen-y-Bont vs Haverfordwest County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.45pm
Colwyn Bay 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ioan Phillips

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 5.00pm
Barry 1 - 1 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Pen-y-Bont has a probability of 30.86% and a draw has a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win is 1-0 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Pen-y-Bont 30.86% (-0.02)
Draw 27.55% (+0.04)
Haverfordwest County 41.59% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.8% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 32.38% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 41.65% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.98% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.02% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.6%
Under 4.5 89.4%

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 25.19% (-0.08)
Draw 44.22% (-0.01)
Haverfordwest County 30.59% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 42.34% (-0.17)
No Goal 9.9% (+0.01)
Haverfordwest County 47.76% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 53.98% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.23% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.79% (-0.01)
Over 9 41.87% (+0.10)
Equal 9 12.11% (-0.05)
Under 9 46.02% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 30.91% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 69.09% (-0.12)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 27.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.81% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.19% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.35%
Under 3.5 97.65%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.61% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.62% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.38% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.61%
Under 2.5 86.39%
Over 3.5 4.17%
Under 3.5 95.83%

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 30.86%
Draw 27.56%
Haverfordwest County 41.58%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.56%
Haverfordwest County
0-1 @ 12.34%
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 41.58%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Oct 7, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Aug 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Ben Ahmun 18' goal
  • Dylan Rees 52' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Dan John 86' yellowcard
  • Zac Jones 89' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Pritchard 21'
  • goal James Crole 71'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Feb 1, 2025 12.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 68' yellowcard
  • Corey Shepherd 82' yellowcard
  • Adam Przybek 88' yellowcard
  • Ben Morgan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McCarthy 52'
  • yellowcard James Crole 75'
  • yellowcard Owain Jones 88'
  • yellowcard Adam Przybek 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Rhys Abbruzzese 90'+5'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • Joe Woodiwiss 20' yellowcard
  • Mattie Davies 46' goal
  • Lewis Harling 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Tabone 29'
  • redcard Luke Tabone 64'
  • yellowcard Jacob Owen 90'+3'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bridge Meadow Stadium
  • Greg Walters 6' yellowcard
  • Luke Tabone 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattie Davies 32'