Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.