Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.