Welsh Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
Maes Tegid

Bala Town vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
Bala Town 3 - 4 Flint Town
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Cameron Ferguson

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff MU 0 - 2 Haverfordwest
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Lifumpa Mwandwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Bala Town has a probability of 36.65% and a draw has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Bala Town win is 1-0 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Bala Town 36.65% (+0.01)
Draw 26.42% (+0.02)
Cardiff MU 36.93% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.89% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.63% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 54.37% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.5%
Under 3.5 75.5%
Over 4.5 13.04%
Under 4.5 86.96%

First Half Winner

Bala Town 29.34% (+0.02)
Draw 41.84% (+0.03)
Cardiff MU 28.83% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Bala Town 50.17% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.43% (-0.02)
Cardiff MU 41.4% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 46.15%
Equal 8 11.67% (+0.01)
Under 8 42.18% (-0.01)
Over 9 35.29% (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 53.85%
Over 10.5 25.95% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.05% (+0.01)

Bala Town Goals

Over 1.5 33.85% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.15% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.7% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.3% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.85% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.15% (-0.02)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.75% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.65%
Under 1.5 65.35%
Over 2.5 13.11%
Under 2.5 86.89%
Over 3.5 4.04%
Under 3.5 95.96%

Score analysis

Bala Town 36.66%
Draw 26.42%
Cardiff MU 36.93%
Bala Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.91% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.02)
Total : 36.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 26.42%
Cardiff MU
0-1 @ 10.06% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.98% (-0.02)
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Olamide Ibrahim 7' yellowcard
  • Ola Ibrahim 7' yellowcard
  • Harry Dean 17' goal
  • John Owen 52' goal
  • Olamide Ibrahim 60' yellowcard
  • Ola Ibrahim 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Edwards 19'
  • goal Lewis Rees 23'
  • goal Matt Clubb 32'
  • yellowcard Matt Clubb 70'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Chris Craven 48' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Malkin 32'
  • yellowcard Liam Higgins 68'
  • yellowcard Ross White 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Maes Tegid
  • Dan Malone 73' yellowcard
  • Dan Malone 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Chris Craven 45'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Eliot Evans 6' goal
  • Joel Edwards 22' yellowcard
  • Gruff Morgan 41' yellowcard
  • Ryan Reynolds 49' goal
  • Adam Roscrow 85' yellowcard
  • goal George Newell 47'
  • yellowcard Joe Malkin 85'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 5.15pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
  • Kieran Lloyd 4' goal
  • Adam Roscrow 45' yellowcard
  • Jake Morris 62' goal
  • Tom Vincent 69' goal
  • goal Osebi Abadaki 35'
  • yellowcard Dan Malone 38'
  • goal Nathan Peate 47'
  • goal Joe Malkin 48'
  • yellowcard Osebi Abadaki 87'