Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.