Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.