Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.