Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.07% and a win for Llanelli Town had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%) , while for a Llanelli Town win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.